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Travel Demand Model & Data
The region's Travel Demand Model (TDM) is used to predict how travel patterns can change in the future and what mode (transit or automobile) may be used to complete these trips in Hampton Roads. The TDM is used in a variety of ways: forecast traffic volumes and patterns, project prioritization, analysis of candidates for the regional Long-Range Transportation Plan, support for the Congestion Management System, individual project studies, air quality conformity, and as-needed data requests.
The Virginia Department of Transportation (VDOT) and their consultants updated the regional TDM in 2020. This updated model has the ability to forecast travel demand, including truck trips, by time of day; additionally, the updated model has an expanded model area to include the City of Franklin and Southampton County, updated Transportation Analysis Zone (TAZ) boundaries, network improvements, updated Non-Home-Based trip methodology, updated transit, mode choice, and toll components, and the ability to apply exploratory planning to investigate potential impacts of connected and automated vehicles on the transportation network. These improvements can better replicate existing travel conditions and the level of detail and accuracy for forecasting.
Reports and information relevant to the Hampton Roads Travel Demand Model:
Socioeconomic Data
2015 (Base Year)
- Hampton Roads 2015 Transportation Socioeconomic Data by Transportation Analysis Zone (Excel) | (PDF)
2045
- Hampton Roads 2015 and 2045 Socioeconomic Data by TAZ (Excel) | (PDF)
- Hampton Roads 2015 and 2045 Socioeconomic Interim Year Data (Excel)
- Roads, Locality Boundaries, and TAZs – 2015 and 2045 Socioeconomic Data Included (GIS Shapefiles)
2050
- Hampton Roads 2015 and 2050 Socioeconomic Data by TAZ (Excel)
- Hampton Roads 2015 and 2050 Socioeconomic Interim Year Data (Excel)
- Roads, Locality Boundaries, and TAZs – 2015 and 2050 Socioeconomic Data Included (GIS Shapefiles)
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Dale M. Stith, AICP, GISP
Principal Transportation Planner
Model Documentation
Software CUBE
Software available from Bentley
Basic Model Information
- Most recent model calibration year: 2015
- Most recent model validation year: 2017
- Most recent forecast year: 2050
- The model covers the MPO study area boundary:
- Chesapeake, Franklin, Isle of Wight Co., Norfolk, Portsmouth, Southampton Co., Suffolk, Virginia Beach, Gloucester Co., Hampton, James City Co., Newport News, Poquoson, Williamsburg, York Co.
Other Relevant Links
- To request a copy of the model, please fill out and submit the Travel Model Data Request form (PDF)
- Virginia Travel Demand Modeling Policies and Procedures Manual (PDF)