Frequently Asked Questions

In exploratory scenario planning, the point of the exercise is not to select one preferred future scenario, but rather to be prepared for what could happen in the future by analyzing several plausible future scenarios. The scenarios are used to test alternative transportation investments under different possible futures – not to pick a preferred future. Therefore, HRTPO will not select a preferred scenario.                 

In the timeframe of the planning horizon – the year 2045 – experts predict there will be significant changes in transportation technology and mobility choices. The rise of mobility as a service in the last decade and the advent of scooters and autonomous shuttles in just the last few years illustrate that technology changes are already coming. The exact details are not foreseeable at this time; therefore, the scenarios represent different areas of emphasis such as autonomous versus connected vehicle technology and purchase of rides vs vehicle ownership. This approach allows decisionmakers to foresee the issues and benefits of what may happen and make investment choices that maximize preparedness.